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Money Matters
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Old 01-31-2012, 05:53 PM   #1101
Wraisil
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For the sake of visualization, let's establish a context. Consider an investor who purchased a stock one month ago for $50 and who finds the stock is now selling at $40. The investor must now decide whether to realize the loss or hold the stock for one more period. Let's assume that one of two outcomes will emerge during the coming period: the stock will increase in price by $10 or decrease in price by $10. According to prospect theory developed by Kahneman and Tversky, our investor frames his choice as a choice between the following two outcomes.
I cannot relate to this as I have a simple rule that prevents it (if it is followed). All trades are entered with a target entry, a target price, and a stop in case I'm wrong. I understand the "psychology" of trading is something that hurts many traders (and often investors) and I've often wondered why I don't have the same issue in my trading and I've come to 2 possible conclusions. I'm an ******* with little emotional influence outside of extreme events (possible), or the years I spent developing and practicing my particular method of trading let me be confident enough in those "paper losses" and "paper gains" that when I started trading with actual money the losses and gains no longer had the same effect on me they do on people who have/had less "virtual" (or real) experience.
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Old 02-01-2012, 07:37 PM   #1102
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Old 02-02-2012, 01:21 AM   #1103
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Lcc, LVS, WYNN .... on board. Eyeing on CLX, QCOM. Trailing stop got me out on Zagg, may enter soon...pullback. The pointers by DCHA is gold. Thnks man.
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Old 02-03-2012, 05:17 PM   #1104
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APC is hot guys.
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Old 02-04-2012, 07:37 AM   #1105
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Lcc, LVS, WYNN .... on board. Eyeing on CLX, QCOM. Trailing stop got me out on Zagg, may enter soon...pullback. The pointers by DCHA is gold. Thnks man.


Nice, LCC was my big money maker also holding some of my penny plays MOTR and BPAX. Got into GOOG at 580 for a ride up to 610 area.
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Old 02-07-2012, 10:01 PM   #1106
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Old 02-08-2012, 10:49 AM   #1107
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Only because my sell orders in the 460's didn't fill. AH trading can suck trying to get a fill

Today I re-evaluated levels, moved my stop and target up and I'll wait a while again unless my stop or limit hits.
Haven't had much time for research so I don't have anywhere else to move my AAPL money so I moved up my target and stop again on the strong continuance of the move since earnings.
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Old 02-08-2012, 10:51 AM   #1108
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Check out TRN guys. Their earnings are suppose to have significant growth, earnings are coming out next week, so I'm on the fence about buying right now..
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Old 02-08-2012, 10:55 AM   #1109
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Few to look at for ya'll:
ARG- Break of 80.8 on volume will let us know that Friday was a setback not a showing of a failed b/o. Beware, Earnings on the 26th though. -Didn't work

LXK- Break out appears confirmed. Looking for 37 for next resistance. Nice chart on that one right now imo. made $37 target and still moving up

STLD- I like it at Friday's lows for a move to 15-16 depending on your holding time-frame. -made target

ITW- Break of 49.7 should be good to 51 then 52.5. Must be on volume though. -moved higher than expected over 55 currently

WSM- if you like playing to the short side, this could be good for a drop to ~30 before it sees any real support. -Didn't work
Updated.
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Old 02-08-2012, 11:01 AM   #1110
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Check out TRN guys. Their earnings are suppose to have significant growth, earnings are coming out next week, so I'm on the fence about buying right now..
Hmm, I don't really care for an options play with the pricing on this one and the chart looks to be either about to b/o, or about to fade. I'd wait for a move to start before getting in this one, though it may be too late to capitalize if that move happens on earnings.
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Old 02-08-2012, 11:04 AM   #1111
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Hmm, I don't really care for an options play with the pricing on this one and the chart looks to be either about to b/o, or about to fade. I'd wait for a move to start before getting in this one, though it may be too late to capitalize if that move happens on earnings.
I agree, it's a tough time to make a decision. I'll probably just wait till earnings come out and see what happens, plus I wouldn't doubt a small market correction anyways.

On another note, CROX has been doing well, it's coming up to its 200 dma, so hopefully it has some strength to plus through.
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Old 02-08-2012, 02:49 PM   #1112
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NYX

Nice Base, looks like it is ready to move.
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Old 02-08-2012, 04:33 PM   #1113
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NYX

Nice Base, looks like it is ready to move.
A perfect chart to show why I hate earnings season from a technical perspective. Everything about the chart screams "buy on a break of 28.33 with volume" except that little earnings announcement on Monday...
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Old 02-08-2012, 11:24 PM   #1114
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A perfect chart to show why I hate earnings season from a technical perspective. Everything about the chart screams "buy on a break of 28.33 with volume" except that little earnings announcement on Monday...
Yea i agree, its hard to make a decsion before earnings. It has a nice dividend 4.3% and I dont expect any crazy upsets from them, I think the stock has made a good floor.
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Old 02-09-2012, 12:08 PM   #1115
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AAPL has officially gone insane. My revised, revised, revised target hit, I'm out for 27% gain in just over a month. I don't care how far it moves up or down now, but that movement has been wicked positive lol
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Old 02-09-2012, 12:30 PM   #1116
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My reference points.


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Old 02-09-2012, 12:42 PM   #1117
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when will AAPL ever pullback......wtf.....INSANE in the MEMBRANE
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Old 02-10-2012, 11:27 AM   #1118
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Check out V. Earnings just came out, strong results. Chart has gaped up. I'm thinking it might fill the gap completely or about half way. I'm going to start a position soon, The chart is strong
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Old 02-10-2012, 12:54 PM   #1119
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Old 02-15-2012, 10:09 AM   #1120
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Dcha, What are you currently doing right now? I'm thinking a sell off is imminent.
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